Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.55	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.78	3	Watch
	2.46	2.9	3.22
	2.4	2.87	3.1
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.43	2.64	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
37.2%

Draw
33.1%

Confiança
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

32.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

31.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-5%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 9. Alex Bruno 8. Allef 16. Arthurzinho 4. Cristian Lucca 3. Jackson 28. Motta 22. Paulinho 26. Sammuel (C) 14. Vitao 11. Wandson	1. Matheus Silva (G) 21. Breiner C. 4. Eduardo Moura 7. Fabricio 3. Icaro (C) 5. Lorran 9. Maikon Aquino 6. Marcelo Nunes 2. Mateus Ludke 8. PH 10. PK
Substitutes
12. Cris (G) 13. Danilo Mendes 5. Fabio Aguiar 10. Higor Leite 29. Iarley 27. Jailson 25. Jeferson Lopes 2. Leo Principe 21. Lima V. 17. Pedro Colina 15. Roni Lobo 6. Wesley Costa	11. Andrey Quintino 18. Guilherme Nunes 15. Gustavo Nicola 17. Iago Silva 12. Joao Fernandes (G) 14. Joao Mandovani 20. Joao Pedro 16. Kelvyn 13. Renilson 99. Sassa 19. Wendel 22. Weriton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
19', Maikon Aquino ↓, Sassa ↑,
28', Breiner C. ↓, Andrey Quintino ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eduardo Moura ↓, Joao Mandovani ↑,
46', Lorran 🟨,
64', Wandson ↓, Jailson ↑,
90+23', Fabricio ↓, Iago Silva ↑,
90+23', PH ↓, Renilson ↑,
90+40', Motta ↓, Iarley ↑,
90+42', Vitao 🟨,
90+42', Joao Mandovani 🟨,
90+49', 1 - 1, Mateus Ludke ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ASA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ASA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
01.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Confiança - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Confiança - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Sousa - Confiança	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.12.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:1
27.12.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:0
06.01.19	Confiança - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
09.09.17	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:2
10.07.17	Confiança - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1
24.07.16	Confiança - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0
22.05.16	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança	1:1

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide