Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)


	Confiança		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
	1.38	4	7	Watch
	1.34	4.05	8.6	Watch
	1.38	4.02	10.69
	1.43	3.95	8.11	Watch
	1.36	3.6	10
	1.34	3.84	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.73)	3.91 ↑ (3.34)	9.15 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
66.6%

Draw
23.4%

Fluminense Piaui
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Confiança's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Confiança - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 7. Danielzinho 4. Eduardo Moura 10. Fabricio 11. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 8. Lorran 3. Lucas Cunha 13. Renilson 99. Sassa (C) 2. Valdir Junior	1. Arthur Gazze (G) 10. Carrijo 3. Gabriel Biloca 9. Joao Vitor 6. Kelson F. 22. Kelvin 11. Leo Carvalho 8. Raimundinho 2. Ray (C) 7. Reny Max 5. Rian Renne
Substitutes
17. Andrey Quintino 21. Breiner C. 5. Gustavo Nicola 20. Iago 14. Joao Mandovani 19. Maikon Aquino 16. Marcelo 15. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 18. Paulo Henrique 9. Wendel 22. Weriton	19. Adson 13. Deivid 16. Dos Anjos 14. Gabriel Para 17. Henry P. 15. Jonas Naum 18. Junior Timbo 4. Keynan 12. Webert (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leo Carvalho ↓, Adson ↑,
46', Carrijo ↓, Junior Timbo ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Fabricio Oya ⚽,
59', Fabricio ↓, Wendel ↑,
65', Joao Pedro ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
66', Lorran ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
72', Danielzinho 🟨,
72', Reny Max ↓, Henry P. ↑,
83', Junior Timbo 🟨,
83', Sassa ↓, Gustavo Nicola ↑,
83', Valdir Junior ↓, Weriton ↑,
86', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', Raimundinho 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Breiner C. ⚽,
90+7', Breiner C. 🟨,

Preview

Confiança has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fluminense PI is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Confiança is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.26	Sousa - Confiança	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.03.26	Sergipe - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Confiança - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
07.03.26	Confiança - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWT
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Fluminense Piaui - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
14.03.26	Piauí - Fluminense Piaui	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Goiás - Fluminense Piaui	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Trem - Fluminense Piaui	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
28.02.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL

Confiança - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide