Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vila Nova		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.81	3	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.88	3.05	4.45
	1.88	3.2	4.42
	1.85	3.14	4.41
	1.91	3	4.33
	1.88	3.13	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	4.62 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
50.6%

Draw
29.4%

Confiança
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Vila Nova - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Dalberson (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 4. Pedro Romano 13. Willian Formiga 5. Joao Vieira (C) 20. Nathan Camargo 49. Dellatorre 8. Willian Maranhao 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 9. Rafa Silva	1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 2. Valdir Junior 4. Eduardo Moura 3. Lucas Cunha 13. Renilson 6. Kelvyn 7. Weriton 10. Wendel 8. Guilherme Nunes 99. Sassa (C) 11. Danielzinho
Substitutes
7. Andre Luis 21. Dodo 17. Dudu 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo 6. Higor 99. Janderson 1. Leite H. (G) 15. Marco Antonio 11. Ryan 23. Weverton	9. Andrey Quintino 18. Bruno Silva 17. Fabricio Oya 15. Gustavo Nicola 20. Iago 5. Lorran 19. Maikon Aquino 16. Marcelo 12. Matheus Silva (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Cacapa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rafa Silva ↓, Janderson ↑,
49', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Lorran ↑,
52', Pedro Romano 🟨,
63', Rafael Pascoal 🟨,
65', Wendel ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
65', Sassa ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
68', Valdir Junior 🟨,
72', Nathan Camargo ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
78', Willian Maranhao ↓, Dudu ↑,
78', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
86', Danielzinho ↓, Iago ↑,
86', Valdir Junior ↓, Andrey Quintino ↑,
87', Hayner ↓, Higor ↑,
90+2', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
90+5', Fabricio Oya 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Iago (Penalty Awarded),
1, Joao Vieira (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fabricio Oya (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dodo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kelvyn (Penalty Awarded),
3, Higor (Penalty Awarded),
4, Maikon Aquino (Penalty Awarded),
5, 🟥,
4, 🟥,
5, Emerson Urso (Penalty Awarded),
6, Renilson (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vila Nova - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.74%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	2:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Velo Clube - Vila Nova	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Vila Nova - Anápolis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.03.26	Sergipe - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Confiança - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
07.03.26	Confiança - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.09.21	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:0
22.06.21	Confiança - Vila Nova	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
17.09.15	Vila Nova - Confiança	1:2
06.07.15	Confiança - Vila Nova	0:0

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