Match Info

ASEAN Club Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hang Day Stadium (Hanoi)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Thailand	3BB Sports 1, AIS PLAY, Thairath TV, True ID, True Sport 2
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Cong An Ha Noi		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.15
				Watch
	2.88	3.65	2
	3.31	3.74	1.93	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.93
	3.8	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.88)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	1.96 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cong An Ha Noi
28.2%

Draw
25.2%

Buriram United
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.1%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cong An Ha Noi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buriram United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Ha Noi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buriram United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cong An Ha Noi - Buriram United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nguyen F. (G) 95. Hugo Gomes 68. Bui Hoang Viet Anh 31. Tran Dinh Trong 88. Le Van Do 19. Nguyen Quang Hai (C) 8. Vitao 4. Pendant J. 10. Leo Artur 11. Le Pham Thanh Long 72. Alan Grafite	34. Bootprom C. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 3. Hemviboon P. 6. Good C. 11. Cools D. 44. Zulj P. 5. Bunmathan T. (C) 10. Lucas Crispim 2. Haiprakon S. 7. Bissoli 9. Jaided S.
Substitutes
15. Bui Xuan Thinh 33. Do Sy Huy (G) 98. Giap Tuan Duong 26. Ha Van Phuong 12. Hoang Van Toan 18. Ho Ngoc Thang 28. Nguyen Van Duc 99. Nguyen Van Vinh 22. Pham Minh Phuc 21. Pham Van Luan 20. Phan Van Duc 17. Vu Van Thanh	28. Creevey M. 8. Maikami R. 95. Ratree S. 18. Stephen Berg A. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 1. Tedsungnoen S. (G)
Coaches
Polking A.	Loss O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Leo Artur ⚽, Vitao (A),
28', 1 - 1, Good C. ⚽, Zulj P. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Alan Grafite ⚽,
42', Bunmathan T. 🟨,
45+4', Nguyen Quang Hai 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Bissoli 🟨,
53', Zulj P. 🟨,
65', Bunmathan T. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
68', Tran Dinh Trong 🟨,
74', Leo Artur ↓, Phan Van Duc ↑,
74', Le Pham Thanh Long ↓, Bui Xuan Thinh ↑,
74', Alan Grafite ↓, Vu Van Thanh ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Zulj P. ⚽,
87', Lucas Crispim ↓, Maikami R. ↑,
89', Tran Dinh Trong ↓, Ha Van Phuong ↑,
90+4', Good C. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
90+4', Bissoli ↓, Ratree S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cong An may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buriram is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cong An won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Cong An won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cong An Ha Noi FC
Vietnamese V League 1
09.05.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Quang Nam - Cong An Ha Noi	0:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
30.04.25	Cong An Ha Noi - PSM Makassar	2:0 ✺
Vietnamese Cup
22.04.25	Hai Phong - Cong An Ha Noi	1:3 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
18.04.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT
- Buriram United
Thai FA Cup
10.05.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	3:0 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
07.05.25	Pathum United - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
03.05.25	Chanthaburi - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
30.04.25	Buriram United - Nongbua Pitchaya	7:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.04.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Club Championship
22.08.24	Cong An Ha Noi - Buriram United	2:1

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