Match Info

League Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)


	Buriram United		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.69	3.9	4.7
	4.54	2.98	1.88	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.65	3.38	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.5)	3.44 ↓ (4.06)	4.05 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
44%

Draw
30.3%

Pathum United
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pathum United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pathum United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Buriram United - Pathum United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 75. Lee-Oh S. 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 3. Hemviboon P. 2. Haiprakon S. 16. Dougall K. (C) 5. Bunmathan T. 19. Schindler K. 9. Jaided S. 26. Toku E. 7. Bissoli	28. Anuin S. (G) 15. Matsuda R. 89. Buaphan C. 16. Sandokhadze N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 17. Notsuda G. 5. Kaman K. 9. Sareepim S. 7. Raniel 18. Songkrasin C.
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 33. Chotmuangpak T. 8. Maikami R. 54. Rattanasuwan N. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 14. Walsh S. 15. Weerawatnodom N. 44. Zulj P.	14. Doi T. 11. Gustavsson P. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 22. James N. 27. Jantawong P. 95. Matheus Fornazari 2. Nonthasila S. 8. Panya E. 24. Pimoytha T. 33. Sangvilay P. 31. Takagi Y. 30. Tippanet I.
Coaches
Jackson M.	Vujovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Haiprakon S. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
39', Hemviboon P. 🟨,
40', Sareepim S. 🟨,
43', Jamnongwat W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Sareepim S. ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
55', Toku E. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
62', Sareepim S. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
70', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
76', Zulj P. 🟨,
79', Bunmathan T. ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
79', Lee-Oh S. ↓, Weerawatnodom N. ↑,
83', Raniel ↓, Gustavsson P. ↑,
83', Yooyen S. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
84', Notsuda G. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
86', Panya E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 3.

Buriram has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pathum United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Buriram is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Buriram will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buriram won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Buriram won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.7:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Buriram United - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 60.88%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
04.04.26	Ratchaburi - Buriram United	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Buriram United - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Pattani - Buriram United	0:3 ✺
Thai League 1
14.03.26	Buriram United - Chonburi	5:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.03.26	Buriram United - Melbourne City	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWW
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
04.04.26	Kanchanaburi - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	2:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Pathum United - Mahasarakham	3:0 ✺
Thai League 1
14.03.26	Rayong FC - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pathum United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
14.02.26	Pathum United - Buriram United	1:3
05.10.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:2
ASEAN Club Championship
24.09.25	Pathum United - Buriram United	2:2
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:1
Thai FA Cup
10.05.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	3:0
ASEAN Club Championship
07.05.25	Pathum United - Buriram United	0:0
Thai League 1
12.04.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	1:2

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