Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 8

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Conil		La Palma

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.51	3.7	6
	1.48	4.17	5.7
	1.5	4.19	5.49	Watch
	1.46	3.78	6.66
	1.51	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)	5.93 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
61.1%

Draw
23.5%

La Palma
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.2%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

16.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

La Palma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Palma than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Palma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conil - La Palma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 4 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Conil is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Palma has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Conil is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Conil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.10.24	Utrera - Conil	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Conil - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Bollullos - Conil	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Conil - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tomares - Conil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- La Palma CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.10.24	La Palma - Cartaya	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Utrera - La Palma	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	La Palma - Pozoblanco	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	La Palma - Inter Sevilla	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Bollullos - La Palma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	La Palma - Conil	2:0

Conil - La Palma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide