The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bollullos 46.5%
Draw 27.6%
Conil 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
28.1%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
27.6%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bollullos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bollullos's form might have worsened.
Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Conil's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bollullos than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bollullos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Conil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bollullos - Conil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Ibanez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bollullos won 2.
Bollullos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Conil has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Bollullos has had a series of away games.
Bollullos might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bollullos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Bollullos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).