Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 6

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Conil		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.95	1.93
	3.68	2.86	2.07
	3.66	3.04	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.13)	2.95 ↑ (2.87)	2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
24.4%

Draw
30.6%

Xerez CD
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

31.2%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

30%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Conil won 0.

Conil is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xerez CD is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Xerez CD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Conil won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Conil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.10.23	Córdoba B - Conil	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Conil - Espeleño	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Gerena - Conil	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Ayamonte - Conil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT
- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.10.23	Xerez CD - Cartaya	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cabecense - Xerez CD	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Xerez CD - Ceuta B	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Xerez CD - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Córdoba B - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.04.23	Conil - Xerez CD	0:1
11.12.22	Xerez CD - Conil	1:0
03.04.22	Conil - Xerez CD	0:1
04.12.21	Xerez CD - Conil	3:0
25.10.20	Xerez CD - Conil	2:2
16.02.20	Conil - Xerez CD	2:1
29.09.19	Xerez CD - Conil	2:1

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