Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Conquense		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.2	2.7	3.25
	2.29	2.75	3.35
	2.36	2.92	3.26
	2.33	2.83	3.27	Watch
	2.38	2.77	3.32
	2.29	2.75	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.68)	2.77 ↓ (3.24)	3.3 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
39.5%

Draw
32.9%

Atlético Paso
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conquense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Paso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Paso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Conquense - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Caballero R. (Pen),
29', 2 - 0, Castillo Ortega L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Carcaba J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Conquense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Paso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Conquense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Conquense - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Getafe B - Conquense	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Coria - Conquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.10.24	Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

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