Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.74	2.87	2.7
	2.84	2.61	2.84	Watch
	2.71	2.72	2.68
	2.9	2.54	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.3)	2.72 ↓ (3.13)	2.75 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
33.2%

Draw
33.6%

Intercity
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conquense's form might have worsened.

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Conquense - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, Herrera C. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Quique ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Gracia J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Socuéllamos - Conquense	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Las Palmas B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Conquense - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Intercity - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Intercity	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Intercity - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Intercity	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Intercity - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWL

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