Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.6
	2	2.92	3.65
	2.38	2.91	3.09	Watch
	2.03	2.88	3.87
	2.11	2.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.31)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	3.58 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
43.2%

Draw
31.4%

Fuenlabrada
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Conquense - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Cano C. 🟥,
35', Olaortua I. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Quique (Pen),
77', 2 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fuenlabrada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Conquense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Fuenlabrada - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.73%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Conquense - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWTT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Fuenlabrada - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Madrid C - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tenerife B - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Fuenlabrada - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Coria - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.02.15	Fuenlabrada - Conquense	1:1
28.09.14	Conquense - Fuenlabrada	1:2
09.02.14	Conquense - Fuenlabrada	1:1
29.09.13	Fuenlabrada - Conquense	1:0

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