Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Quintanar del Rey		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.08	2.82	3.6
	2.25	2.76	3.91
	2.60	2.90	2.80	Watch
	2.14	2.74	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.54)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	3.49 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
41.2%

Draw
32.4%

Conquense
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

33.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quintanar del Rey's performance.

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Conquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Conquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Quintanar del Rey - Conquense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Quintanar del Rey (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent form of Quintanar del Rey has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conquense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Quintanar del Rey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quintanar del Rey won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Quintanar del Rey won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Quintanar del Rey	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Ibiza	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Conquense - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.05.24	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	1:1
07.01.24	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	1:0
15.01.23	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	0:0
11.09.22	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	0:0
05.01.22	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	0:1

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