Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Mercadal		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.58
	2.56	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
35%

Draw
30.6%

Llosetense
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

34.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Mercadal - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 2.

Recent performances by Mercadal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Llosetense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Cardassar - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mercadal - Manacor	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Constancia - Mercadal	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Binissalem - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Mercadal - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWW
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.11.25	Llosetense - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Felanitx - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Llosetense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Portmany - Llosetense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Llosetense - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.04.25	Llosetense - Mercadal	3:1
24.11.24	Mercadal - Llosetense	4:0
16.12.23	Llosetense - Mercadal	1:0
04.03.23	Llosetense - Mercadal	0:2
29.10.22	Mercadal - Llosetense	0:2
09.04.22	Llosetense - Mercadal	2:0
15.12.21	Mercadal - Llosetense	2:2

Mercadal - Llosetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide