Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Constancia		Mercadal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.87	3.24	4.22	Watch
	1.77	3.54	4.51
	1.76	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	4.32 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
51.6%

Draw
27.1%

Mercadal
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Constancia - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 3.

Constancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mercadal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Constancia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Constancia - Girona	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
25.10.25	Alcúdia - Constancia	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Constancia - Binissalem	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mallorca B - Constancia	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Constancia - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.25	Binissalem - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Mercadal - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mercadal - Portmany	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.03.25	Mercadal - Constancia	0:1
20.11.24	Constancia - Mercadal	2:1
24.02.24	Constancia - Mercadal	1:0
08.10.23	Mercadal - Constancia	1:1
19.02.23	Mercadal - Constancia	1:1
15.10.22	Constancia - Mercadal	3:0
01.03.22	Constancia - Mercadal	0:0

Constancia - Mercadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide