Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Constancia		Porreres

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.44	2.92	2.77
	2.53	3.02	2.77	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.76
	2.55	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.12)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	2.74 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
36.2%

Draw
30.7%

Porreres
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constancia's form might have worsened.

Porreres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porreres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porreres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Constancia - Porreres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Alomar L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Ferrer M. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Ferrer M. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Pedrido ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Constancia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porreres is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Constancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Constancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Constancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.02.25	Binissalem - Constancia	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Constancia - Portmany	5:0 ✺
18.01.25	Constancia - Migjorn	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Constancia - PE Sant Jordi	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Alcúdia - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- UE Porreres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.02.25	Llosetense - Porreres	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Porreres - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Porreres - Manacor	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Porreres - Migjorn	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	PE Sant Jordi - Porreres	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.10.24	Porreres - Constancia	0:0

Constancia - Porreres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide