The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Llosetense 33.3%
Draw 29.6%
Constancia 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
28.2%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
26.9%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Llosetense - Constancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 1.
Llosetense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Constancia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Llosetense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Llosetense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
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