Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Arenal		Porreres

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.60	1.61
	4.7	3.55	1.6
	4.89	3.7	1.62
	4.86	3.76	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.65	1.6
	5.18	4.67	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.54)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	1.57 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenal
18.7%

Draw
23.7%

Porreres
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenal's form might have worsened.

Porreres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porreres's recent form is better than expected.

Arenal - Porreres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 🟥,

Preview

Arenal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Porreres is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Porreres	5	3	0	2	7:6	1	9
15	Arenal	5	1	0	4	5:11	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.09.26	Arenal - Alcúdia	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Manacor - Arenal	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Arenal - Alaior	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Portmany - Arenal	0:0 ✺
27.03.24	Arenal - Mallorca B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTL
- UE Porreres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.09.26	Porreres - Inter Ibiza	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Porreres - Andratx	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.26	Porreres - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Poblense - Porreres	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Porreres - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTLL

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