Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Conwy Borough		Mold Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.9	2.85
	2.54	3.76	2.09
	2.34	3.65	2.51
	2.6	3.85	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.92)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	2.4 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conwy Borough
38.5%

Draw
23.8%

Mold Alexandra
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

22.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

20.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conwy Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conwy Borough's form might have worsened.

Mold Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mold Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conwy Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mold Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Conwy Borough has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mold Alexandra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Conwy Borough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Conwy Borough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
25.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Conwy Borough	5:0 ✺
17.02.23	Druids - Conwy Borough	3:0 ✺
10.02.23	Conwy Borough - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Conwy Borough - Guilsfield	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Guilsfield - Conwy Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTLT
- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
25.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Porthmadog	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Colwyn Bay	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Chirk AAA - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Druids	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
05.11.22	Mold Alexandra - Conwy Borough	5:2

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