Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Mold Alexandra		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.25	1.52
	4.66	4.41	1.52
	4.35	4.65	1.59	Watch
	4.51	4.51	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.35)	4.46 ↓ (4.65)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
20.3%

Draw
20.6%

Holywell Town
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

20%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

19.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 1 - 0, Cordiner O. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Lindfield C. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Rogers C. (Own goal),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Holywell Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mold Alexandra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Holywell Town - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.57%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Mold Alexandra - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
10.10.25	Rhyl - Mold Alexandra	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Brickfield Rangers - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Holywell Town - Rhyl	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	8:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
08.03.25	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	1:0
17.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	2:3
09.03.24	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	1:3
28.08.23	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	3:0
08.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	0:2
29.10.22	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	2:0
Welsh League Cup
23.07.22	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	2:3

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