Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 31

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Villanovense		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	4.6
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.81	3.09	4.94
	1.78	3.2	4.75
	1.77	3.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	4.73 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
51.5%

Draw
29.3%

Coria
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

29.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

28%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villanovense's form might have worsened.

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villanovense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villanovense - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villanovense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.04.23	Don Benito - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Villanovense - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Villanovense - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Unión Adarve - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTT
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.04.23	Coria - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Melilla - Coria	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Alcorcón B - Coria	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Coria - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.12.22	Coria - Villanovense	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Villanovense - Coria	0:0
03.10.21	Coria - Villanovense	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.10.19	Villanovense - Coria	0:0

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