Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Corinthian-Casuals		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.05
	2.9	3.55	1.95
	3.85	3.7	1.73
	3.95	3.84	1.77
	3.6	3.6	1.73
	3.9	3.88	1.73
	3.75	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.4)	3.69 ↓ (4)	1.82 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthian-Casuals
25.5%

Draw
24.6%

Folkestone Invicta
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

22.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

22.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthian-Casuals's form might have worsened.

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folkestone Invicta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthian-Casuals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folkestone Invicta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	36.8%	52.6%

Corinthian Casuals - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Corinthian-Casuals will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Folkestone will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Folkestone: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0.

Corinthian-Casuals is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Folkestone is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Corinthian-Casuals have a series of guest games.

Recently Folkestone have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Margate	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Harrow Borough	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.10.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
30.09.22	Enfield Town - Corinthian-Casuals	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Folkestone Invicta
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Merthyr Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.10.22	Bishops Stortford - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.09.22	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	2:3 ✺
13.09.22	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.04.22	Folkestone Invicta - Corinthian-Casuals	2:2
21.08.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
25.01.20	Folkestone Invicta - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1
12.10.19	Corinthian-Casuals - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
05.02.19	Folkestone Invicta - Corinthian-Casuals	2:1
14.08.18	Corinthian-Casuals - Folkestone Invicta	1:3

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