Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.81	3.91	3.45
	1.54	4.26	4.76	Watch
	1.74	3.64	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	3.85 ↓ (4.03)	3.95 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
53.1%

Draw
23.7%

Cray Wanderers
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folkestone Invicta's form might have worsened.

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folkestone Invicta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Mason B. ⚽,
18', 3 - 0, Mason B. ⚽,
27', 4 - 0, Pigott J. ⚽,
31', 4 - 1, Taylor Q. ⚽,
43', 5 - 1, Mason B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 6 - 1, Pigott J. ⚽,
64', 7 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
83', 8 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 2.

Folkestone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cray has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cray may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Folkestone has had a series of away games.

In this match, Folkestone is considered a favorite.

We predict that Folkestone will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Folkestone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:3 ✺
04.11.25	Welling United - Folkestone Invicta	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Cray Wanderers - Chichester City	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cheshunt - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cray Wanderers - Dartford	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Cray Wanderers - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chatham Town - Cray Wanderers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	1:1
22.02.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	3:2
09.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	1:0
24.03.24	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
06.02.24	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	2:2
15.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	0:0
13.09.22	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	2:4

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