Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 6

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Corinthians U20		Ituano U20

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4
	2.06	3.35	3.15
	2.1	3.17	3.19
	2.15	3.19	3.23	Watch
	2.08	3.28	3.19	Watch
	2.06	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.68)	3.35 ↓ (3.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
45.2%

Draw
27.3%

Ituano U20
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians U20's form might have worsened.

Ituano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Corinthians U20 - Ituano U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ituano U20 (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituano U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Corinthians U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Corinthians U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
27.05.25	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	4:4 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
23.05.25	Água Santa U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
20.05.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
14.05.25	Corinthians U20 - Atletico GO U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLT
- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.05.25	Ituano U20 - União São João U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
21.05.25	Ituano U20 - Sport Recife U20	4:5 penalties ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	São Bento U20 - Ituano U20	2:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
14.05.25	Criciúma U20 - Ituano U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.05.25	Ituano U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
17.01.25	Ituano U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 penalties
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.07.24	Corinthians U20 - Ituano U20	2:1
20.07.24	Ituano U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2
Brazilian Copinha
12.01.22	Corinthians U20 - Ituano U20	5:0
08.01.19	Ituano U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2

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