Match Info

Brasileiro U20 B - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Ituano U20		Sport Recife U20

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.61	3.33
	1.96	3.61	3.32	Watch
	1.96	3.45	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.64)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	3.33 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano U20
46.7%

Draw
25.8%

Sport Recife U20
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

26.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano U20's form might have worsened.

Sport Recife U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife U20 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Recife U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ituano U20 - Sport Recife U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
9', 2 - 1, ⚽,
26', 2 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 4 - 2, ⚽,
71', 4 - 3, ⚽,
82', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Ituano U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sport Recife U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ituano U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ituano U20 is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	São Bento U20 - Ituano U20	2:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
14.05.25	Criciúma U20 - Ituano U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.05.25	Ituano U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ituano U20 - Santo Andre U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
30.04.25	Ituano U20 - Coritiba U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Sport Recife U20
Brasileiro U20 B
14.05.25	Sport Recife U20 - Sampaio Corrêa U20	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Sport Recife U20	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Sport Recife U20 - Vila Nova U20	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Sport Recife U20 - Goiás U20	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	CRB U20 - Sport Recife U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLTW

Ituano U20 - Sport Recife U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide