Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 9

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Corinthians U20		Portuguesa SP U20

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.3
	1.95	3.36	3.24
				Watch
	1.69	3.78	4.16
	1.71	3.8	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.71)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	3.67 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
50.2%

Draw
25.1%

Portuguesa SP U20
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Portuguesa SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa SP U20 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Corinthians U20 - Portuguesa SP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pellegrin ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Guilherme Arsilla ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Corinthians U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Corinthians U20 is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
25.06.25	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.06.25	Corinthians U20 - São Bento U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
17.06.25	Corinthians U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:3 ✺
11.06.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
07.06.25	Rio Claro U20 - Corinthians U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLWW
- Portuguesa SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	Sertãozinho U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Palmeiras U20 - Portuguesa SP U20	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Botafogo SP U20	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - União Suzano U20	2:2 ✺
16.05.25	Portuguesa SP U20 - Rio Claro U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWTW

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