Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Corinthians U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.22
	3	3.64	2.44
	2.83	3.27	2.34	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.25
	2.83	3.39	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
32.5%

Draw
27.7%

Vasco da Gama U20
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 1.

Recent performances by Corinthians U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Corinthians U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	Corinthians U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Criciúma U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWT
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
13.05.26	Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
10.05.26	America RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
02.05.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - America RJ U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
25.06.25	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1
Brazilian Copinha
19.01.25	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:0
Brasileiro U20
31.07.22	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1
11.07.21	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:6
14.12.20	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:3
07.08.19	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	3:1
Brazilian Copinha
22.01.19	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2:3 penalties

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