Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Turner's Cross (Cork)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Cork City		Athlone Town

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.00	7.50
	1.34	4.40	7.00
	1.34	5.13	10.20
	1.44	3.91	7.27	Watch
	1.32	4.70	10.00
	1.40	4.84	6.72
	1.30	4.70	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	4.67 ↑ (4.03)	8.01 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cork City
68.6%

Draw
19.8%

Athlone Town
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cork City's performance.

Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cork City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cork City - Athlone Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Cork City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brann C. (G) 17. Crowley D. 15. Drinan C. 28. Feely R. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 9. Keating R. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 5. Lyons C. 10. Mpongo H. 39. Murphy C. 14. O'Keeffe N.	1. Clarke B. (C) 12. Brennan S. 8. Connolly A. 27. Crawford J. 33. Farnham J. 18. Grogan P. 29. Kehir J. 14. Lomboto G. 11. McManus B. 5. O'Connor E. 19. Smith W.
Substitutes
8. Aidoo J. 35. Dalton F. 47. Daly C. 37. Downey L. 24. Maguire S. 31. Manjor-Georgewill I. 2. Nevin H. 13. Odumosu D. (G)	36. Ayinde A. 9. Ferry P. 35. Kavanagh D. 16. Lawless Z. 30. Nolan C. 3. O'Connor K. 21. Tollett C. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Keating R. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Mpongo H. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Keating R. ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Grogan P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Farnham J. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
51', 🟨,
53', Lyons C. ↓, Nevin H. ↑,
53', Fitzpatrick J. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
59', 3 - 2, Grogan P. ⚽,
65', Brennan S. 🟨,
69', Kehir J. 🟨,
69', Smith W. ↓, Ferry P. ↑,
75', Brennan S. ↓, Tollett C. ↑,
86', Maguire S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 2.

Cork City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athlone Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cork City is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:16. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cork City ✔	34	22	5	7	71:34	37	71
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cork City
Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 AET ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Cork City - Cardiff City	1:6 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Cork City - Longford Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Athlone Town - Midleton	3:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
22.05.26	Athlone Town - Cork City	0:3
27.03.26	Cork City - Athlone Town	4:1
11.10.24	Athlone Town - Cork City	4:1
09.08.24	Cork City - Athlone Town	0:0
31.05.24	Athlone Town - Cork City	1:0
29.03.24	Cork City - Athlone Town	1:0
14.10.22	Athlone Town - Cork City	3:2

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