Match Info

Division 1 - Round 25

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Athlone Town Stadium (Athlone)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	LOI TV


	Athlone Town		University College Dublin

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.15
	2.88	3.4	2.22
	2.94	3.65	2.33
	2.87	3.48	2.21	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.25
	2.97	3.41	2.28
	2.8	3.3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.78)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	2.23 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
31.9%

Draw
26.7%

University College Dublin
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Athlone Town - University College Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clarke B. (G) 3. O'Connor K. 29. Kehir J. 5. O'Connor E. 23. Considine T. 9. Ferry P. 8. Connolly A. 27. Crawford J. 12. Brennan S. 11. McManus B. 21. Tollett C.	1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 6. Wells A. (C) 7. McCullagh M. 8. Dignam L. 17. Cailloce K. 14. Curtis H. 10. Behan C. 15. Akinrintayo C.
Substitutes
36. Ayinde A. 33. Farnham J. 18. Grogan P. 35. Kavanagh D. 16. Lawless Z. 14. Lomboto G. 19. Smith W. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.	11. Alonge M. 16. Douglas N. (G) 13. Goad J. 31. Mohan S. 22. Morley T. . Norval S. 21. Ogbonna G. 40. Smith H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Cailloce K. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
35', McCullagh M. 🟨,
42', Kehir J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ferry P. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
60', Tollett C. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
72', Akinrintayo C. ↓, Ogbonna G. ↑,
72', McCullagh M. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
74', Connolly A. 🟨,
78', Murphy S. 🟨,
83', O'Connor K. ↓, Lomboto G. ↑,
85', McManus B. 🟨,
90+2', Brennan S. ↓, Farnham J. ↑,
90+2', Cailloce L. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:46. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Athlone Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Athlone Town - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

University College Dublin - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
24.07.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Athlone Town - Midleton	3:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT
- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	6:0 ✺
04.07.26	Longford Town - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	University College Dublin - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0
03.04.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:2
10.10.25	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:2
04.08.25	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	1:2
30.05.25	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:0
14.03.25	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	2:1
23.09.24	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	1:0

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