Match Info

Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	University College Dublin		Cork City

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.30	1.88
	3.35	3.20	1.96
	3.84	3.85	1.95
	3.28	3.67	1.96	Watch
	3.65	3.80	1.89
	3.50	3.58	1.87
	3.50	3.45	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.03)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
26.2%

Draw
25.9%

Cork City
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

24.5%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

23.9%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

University College Dublin - Cork City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cork City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 5. Lennox C. 6. Wells A. (C) 3. Cailloce L. 14. Curtis H. 8. Dignam L. 17. Cailloce K. 10. Behan C. 7. McCullagh M. 15. Akinrintayo C.	1. Brann C. (G) 28. Feely R. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 5. Lyons C. 15. Drinan C. 6. Bolger G. 17. Crowley D. 14. O'Keeffe N. 10. Mpongo H. 9. Keating R. 39. Murphy C.
Substitutes
12. Alonge M. 19. Bolton C. 16. Douglas N. (G) 13. Goad J. 25. Lavin G. 31. Mohan S. 22. Morley T. 21. Ogbonna G. 11. Smith H.	88. Aidoo J. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 31. Manjor-Georgewill I. 25. Murray M. 2. Nevin H. 45. Obenge D. 32. O'Connor D. 13. Odumosu D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Mpongo H. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Cailloce K. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Keating R. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Akinrintayo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 3 - 2, Behan C. ⚽,
61', Bolger G. 🟨,
62', Bolger G. ↓, Fitzpatrick J. ↑,
62', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
67', Akinrintayo C. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
71', Dignam L. 🟨,
72', O'Keeffe N. ↓, Aidoo J. ↑,
72', Feely R. ↓, Nevin H. ↑,
82', Murphy S. 🟨,
86', 4 - 2, Dignam L. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 2, McCullagh M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

UCD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cork City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cork City ✔	34	22	5	7	71:34	37	71
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	6:0 ✺
04.07.26	Longford Town - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	University College Dublin - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Cork City
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 AET ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Cork City - Cardiff City	1:6 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Cork City - Longford Town	3:4 ✺
03.07.26	Cobh Ramblers - Cork City	0:1 ✺
26.06.26	Cork City - Bray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
08.05.26	Cork City - University College Dublin	3:1
20.03.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	0:1
06.09.24	University College Dublin - Cork City	0:1
03.06.24	Cork City - University College Dublin	0:0
12.04.24	University College Dublin - Cork City	0:0
01.03.24	Cork City - University College Dublin	1:0
Irish Premier Division
22.10.23	University College Dublin - Cork City	0:2

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