Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Municipal de Cornella (Cornella de Llobregat)


	Cornellà		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.22	3.2	3
	2.28	3.13	3.04	Watch
	2.41	2.8	3.22
	2.22	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.05)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
40.4%

Draw
29.5%

Peña Deportiva
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

31.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cornellà - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Kouassi B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Fraile M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, Barry B. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Salinas M. (Pen),
86', 3 - 2, Losa J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Cornellà will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cornellà won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cornellà won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.03.25	CE Europa - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Cornellà - Mallorca B	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Elche Ilicitano - Cornellà	4:3 ✺
02.03.25	Cornellà - Alzira	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Olot - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Peña Deportiva - Torrent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	4:1
29.04.18	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	1:1
03.12.17	Cornellà - Peña Deportiva	1:0

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