Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Municipal de Cornella (Cornella de Llobregat)


	Cornellà		Tona

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.78	3.3	4.49
	1.31	4.92	8.65	Watch
	1.77	3.24	4.39
	1.77	3.25	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)	5.12 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
55.3%

Draw
26.3%

Tona
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cornellà's performance.

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cornellà that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cornellà - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Guzman S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Golubovic S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, dos Reis L. ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Cornellà is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cornellà is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Lleida - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cornellà - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	LEscala - Cornellà	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mollerussa - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTWW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Tona - Badalona	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Montañesa - Tona	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Peralada - Tona	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Tona - Vic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTW

Cornellà - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide