Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Peralada		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.05
	8.68	1.19	7.79	Watch
	2.17	3.13	3.13
	2.1	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.02)	2.71 ↓ (3.35)	4.28 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peralada
30.6%

Draw
42.5%

Tona
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peralada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peralada's form might have worsened.

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peralada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Peralada - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Peralada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peralada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Peralada might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peralada won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peralada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Lleida - Peralada	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Peralada - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	LEscala - Peralada	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Peralada - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Mollerussa - Peralada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Tona - Vic	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	LHospitalet - Tona	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Tona - Manresa	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	CE Europa B - Tona	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tona - Grama	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Tona - Peralada	0:0
25.02.24	Peralada - Tona	2:0
07.10.23	Tona - Peralada	1:1
25.03.23	Tona - Peralada	0:1
20.11.22	Peralada - Tona	5:2

Peralada - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide