Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Nou Municipal de Cornella (Cornella de Llobregat)


	Cornellà		Vilanova

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.85
	1.83	3.32	3.9
	2.49	2.74	3.19	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.8	3.24	4.28
	1.77	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)	3.1 ↑ (2.95)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
47%

Draw
29.3%

Vilanova
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Cornellà - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', 0 - 2, ⚽,
116', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vilanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cornellà will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cornellà won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cornellà won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8
8	Cornella	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.05.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	LHospitalet - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Cornellà - Manresa	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	CE Europa B - Cornellà	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cornellà - Grama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLT
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.05.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vilanova - Can Vidalet	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Vilassar de Mar - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vilanova - Mollerussa	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	San Cristóbal - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.05.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	0:1
29.03.26	Vilanova - Cornellà	2:0
15.11.25	Cornellà - Vilanova	1:1

Cornellà - Vilanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide