Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 30

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Correcaminos UAT 2		Saltillo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.58	2.96	2.78
	2.58	2.96	2.78
	2.48	3.24	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.74)	3.1 ↓ (3.56)	2.69 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT 2
36.8%

Draw
29.3%

Saltillo
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

27.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT 2's form might have worsened.

Saltillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saltillo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correcaminos UAT 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saltillo than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saltillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 2.

Correcaminos 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saltillo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saltillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Correcaminos 2 is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Correcaminos 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:4 penalties ✺
15.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Los Cabos United - Correcaminos UAT 2	5:1 ✺
05.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTL
- Saltillo FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.03.24	Saltillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Saltillo - Orgullo Reynosa	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Coras - Saltillo	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Saltillo - Real Apodaca	0:0 ✺
23.02.24	Calor de San Pedro - Saltillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.10.23	Saltillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2
11.03.23	Saltillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:3
15.10.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo	0:2
05.02.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo	1:1
09.10.21	Saltillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:0
18.01.20	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo	0:2 ET
23.08.19	Saltillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:1

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Saltillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide