Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Correcaminos UAT 2		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.9	3.55	1.79
	4.72	3.84	1.62	Watch
	3.98	3.88	1.78	Watch
	3.9	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.17)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT 2
22.6%

Draw
25%

Alacranes de Durango
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT 2's form might have worsened.

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correcaminos UAT 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 0.

Correcaminos 2 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Correcaminos 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Correcaminos 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3:17 (average 0.4:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Correcaminos 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Colima - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Canamy	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	La Piedad - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Petroleros Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:3 ✺
18.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Alacranes de Durango - Tecos FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1
15.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2
13.10.23	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0
09.04.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:4
26.11.21	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1
15.03.20	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
18.10.19	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	4:0

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