Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Cortes		Avance Ezcabarte

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.32	3.02	3.09
	2.27	3.08	3.1	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
40.5%

Draw
29.8%

Avance Ezcabarte
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Avance Ezcabarte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avance Ezcabarte than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 4.

Cortes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avance Ezcabarte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cortes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cortes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ezcabarte	5	2	2	1	10:4	6	8
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.03.26	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ardoi - Cortes	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cortes - Beti Kozkor	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cortes - Egüés	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Huarte - Cortes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL
- CD Avance Ezcabarte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.03.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Oberena	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Izarra - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Bidezarra	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Pamplona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.04.24	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	0:1
02.12.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	0:1
07.01.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	1:2
10.09.22	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0
02.04.22	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	1:2
27.11.21	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1

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