Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Corticella		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.78
	3.95	3.5	1.78
	3.98	3.57	1.8	Watch
	3.91	3.55	1.88
	3.95	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.84)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corticella
23.4%

Draw
26%

Lentigione
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.4%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corticella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Corticella aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Corticella - Lentigione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Pastore M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
63', 0 - 2, Maggioli G. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Bocchialini N. ⚽,
88', 0 - 4, Pari A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corticella won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lentigione is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Corticella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Corticella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.25	Ravenna - Corticella	5:2 ✺
23.03.25	Corticella - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Progresso - Corticella	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Corticella - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Corticella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.25	Lentigione - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Zenith Prato - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Lentigione - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lentigione - Forlì	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Imolese - Lentigione	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
24.11.24	Lentigione - Corticella	1:0
28.01.24	Corticella - Lentigione	2:1
01.10.23	Lentigione - Corticella	2:3
12.02.23	Corticella - Lentigione	1:2
09.10.22	Lentigione - Corticella	1:3
23.05.21	Lentigione - Corticella	3:1
24.01.21	Corticella - Lentigione	0:1

Corticella - Lentigione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide