Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Progresso		Corticella

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.87	2.87
	2.37	2.95	2.95
	2.5	2.82	2.86
	2.54	2.85	2.91
	2.58	2.9	2.97
	2.43	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.22)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
37.1%

Draw
31.7%

Corticella
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Corticella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Progresso - Corticella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Matta G. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Matta R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 3 - 0, Ferraresi S. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, Ferraresi S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Progresso will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progresso won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Progresso won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.03.25	Forlì - Progresso	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Progresso - Zenith Prato	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Progresso	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Progresso - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Piacenza - Progresso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW
- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.03.25	Corticella - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Corticella	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Zenith Prato - Corticella	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Corticella - Tau Altopascio	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	United Riccione - Corticella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
03.11.24	Corticella - Progresso	2:0
28.03.24	Progresso - Corticella	2:0
19.11.23	Corticella - Progresso	0:2
14.04.21	Progresso - Corticella	2:1
23.12.20	Corticella - Progresso	1:3

Progresso - Corticella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide