Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Corticella		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.6	3.2	2.49
	2.57	4.09	2.12
	2.59	3.31	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.44
	2.6	3.2	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corticella
35.4%

Draw
26.5%

Sasso Marconi
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corticella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Corticella - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Rizzi M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Rizzi M. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Ercolani F. ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 12)

Corticella is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )

Corticella is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sasso Marconi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Corticella will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Corticella won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Corticella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.04.25	Pistoiese - Corticella	5:0 ✺
17.04.25	Corticella - Prato	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Tuttocuoio - Corticella	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Corticella - Lentigione	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Ravenna - Corticella	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.04.25	Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Zenith Prato - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Sasso Marconi - Tau Altopascio	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	United Riccione - Sasso Marconi	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Sasso Marconi - Forlì	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.24	Sasso Marconi - Corticella	1:1
03.02.21	Corticella - Sasso Marconi	1:1

Corticella - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide