The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pistoiese 70.2%
Draw 18.7%
Corticella 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
21%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
18.8%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.
Corticella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corticella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pistoiese - Corticella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kharmoud A. ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Pinzauti L. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Polvani L. ⚽,
39', 4 - 0, Sparacello C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
Pistoiese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )
Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Corticella is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Corticella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Pistoiese is indisputable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
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