Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 14

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Coruchense		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.85	2.7	2.48
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.8	2.8	2.75
	2.76	2.76	2.68
	2.75	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.22)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.64 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruchense
33.4%

Draw
32.3%

Marinhense
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coruchense's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coruchense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Coruchense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marinhense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coruchense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Coruchense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Coruchense - 1 Dezembro	2:2 ✺
18.12.22	Mortágua - Coruchense	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Sertanense - Coruchense	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Coruchense - Alcains	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWWTW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Sintrense - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Marinhense - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Marinhense - Rio Maior	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.09.22	Marinhense - Coruchense	2:1
01.05.22	Marinhense - Coruchense	1:0
03.04.22	Coruchense - Marinhense	0:1

Coruchense - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide