Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro (Castelo Branco)


	SB Castelo Branco		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.09	3.04	3.36
	2.30	3.07	3.01	Watch
	2.16	3.02	3.25
	1.81	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.36 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
43.4%

Draw
29.6%

Marinhense
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SB Castelo Branco's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-5%)

SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2.

SB Castelo Branco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marinhense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SB Castelo Branco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.11.25	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - Lajense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Eléctrico - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLTW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Marinhense - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Anadia - Marinhense	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	Marinhense - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Naval - Marinhense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	0:0
08.12.24	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0
07.01.24	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	2:0
20.08.23	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	4:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	1:2
11.12.22	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	1:0
20.02.22	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	0:0

SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide