Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Coruchense		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.65	2.3
	3.15	3	2.19
	3.67	2.95	2.18
	3.38	3.04	2.11
	3.15	3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.5)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruchense
27.5%

Draw
31.1%

SB Castelo Branco
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coruchense's form might have worsened.

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SB Castelo Branco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coruchense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coruchense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Rio Maior - Coruchense	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	Coruchense - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Coruchense - 1 Dezembro	2:2 ✺
18.12.22	Mortágua - Coruchense	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTWW
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Rio Maior - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	SB Castelo Branco - Coruchense	2:1

Coruchense - SB Castelo Branco

Match Info

Current Win Probability

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Form

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