Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Coruxo		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	2.04	3	4.22
	2.04	2.89	4.22
	1.94	3.26	3.9
	1.99	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.67)	3.13 ↓ (3.62)	3.85 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
46.6%

Draw
29.5%

Arandina
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coruxo's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coruxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Coruxo - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Anon D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Coruxo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coruxo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Coruxo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Real Avilés - Coruxo	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Pontevedra - Coruxo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.24	Arandina - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cayón - Arandina	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Arandina - Langreo	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Valladolid B - Arandina	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Arandina - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.11.23	Arandina - Coruxo	0:1
05.03.17	Coruxo - Arandina	3:2
16.10.16	Arandina - Coruxo	4:0
17.01.16	Arandina - Coruxo	1:1
30.08.15	Coruxo - Arandina	4:1

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