Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Pontevedra		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.25
	1.28	4.7	9.6
	1.26	4.85	11.21	Watch
	1.33	4.75	9.32
	1.28	4.7	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.87)	4.76 ↑ (3.9)	9.8 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
71.4%

Draw
19.2%

Coruxo
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

23.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coruxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coruxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontevedra - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Samuel ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontevedra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pontevedra is indisputable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27:15 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.25	Pontevedra - Numancia	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Pontevedra - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rayo Cantabria - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pontevedra - Escobedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Coruxo - Compostela	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Valladolid B - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Coruxo - Laredo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Coruxo - Pontevedra	0:1
18.02.24	Pontevedra - Coruxo	3:1
08.10.23	Coruxo - Pontevedra	0:2
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Coruxo - Pontevedra	1:0
10.08.22	Coruxo - Pontevedra	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.03.22	Coruxo - Pontevedra	2:2
31.10.21	Pontevedra - Coruxo	2:1

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