Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Costa Brava		San Martín de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.20	5.25
	1.65	3.05	5.5
	1.67	3.03	5.48
	1.73	3.13	5.86	Watch
	1.65	3	5.4
	1.65	3.05	5.98
	1.65	3.05	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	5.55 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
54.4%

Draw
29.4%

San Martín de Mendoza
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 8. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 7. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 11. Pipistrelli I. 5. Riera E.	1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 11. Almeida J. 8. Batistella E. 2. Contreras M. 7. Ferro A. 4. Ojeda F. 10. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 5. Rodriguez F. 6. Velazquez P. 3. Zapata M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Aguero P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Almeida J. ↓, Herensperger R. ↑,
46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Mazzolo J. ↑,
50', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Ferro A. ⚽,
68', Contreras M. 🟨,
75', Batistella E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Riera E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

SM de Mendoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Costa Brava is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Costa Brava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Costa Brava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Costa Brava - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWL
- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	3:1 ✺
07.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - San Martín de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - San Martín de Mendoza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:0
24.05.25	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0
23.03.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:0

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