Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Predio de FADEP (Mendoza)


	FADEP		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.70	3.00
	1.92	2.90	3.95
	2.43	2.69	3.16
	2.49	2.74	3.29	Watch
	2.35	2.60	3.00
	2.43	2.67	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.89)	2.72 ↓ (3)	3.26 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FADEP
38.9%

Draw
33.4%

Costa Brava
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FADEP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FADEP's form might have worsened.

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Costa Brava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FADEP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Costa Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FADEP - Costa Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aracena C. (G)
4. Bonacorso E.
3. Gurzi J.
2. Iribarren N.
5. Lopez L. R.
10. Mendez J.
7. Perez I.
9. Persia M.
11. Soria L.
6. Sosa B.
8. Tonetto D.
Substitutes
14. Ali N.
13. Bazzana N.
20. Benzi
18. Klusener G.
16. Navarro M.
15. Perez F.
12. Rivadeneira F. (G)
17. Taboada L.
19. Zabaleta B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lopez L. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
73', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

FADEP will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, FADEP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, FADEP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fundación Amigos Por El Deporte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	FADEP - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - FADEP	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTW
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Costa Brava - Germinal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	2:0
21.03.26	Costa Brava - FADEP	3:0

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