Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Costa Brava		Argentino Monte Maíz

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.82	3.95
	1.92	2.71	4.28
	2.03	2.75	4.67	Watch
	2	2.7	4
	1.92	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	2.78 ↓ (2.86)	4.24 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
46%

Draw
32.6%

Argentino Monte Maíz
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

33.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Costa Brava - Argentino Monte Maíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Pipistrelli I. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Costa Brava is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Argentino MM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Costa Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Costa Brava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Costa Brava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Costa Brava - Huracán Las Heras	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.05.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - San Martín de Mendoza	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Cipolletti	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	0:0
01.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	3:2
31.05.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	0:2
30.03.25	Costa Brava - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:0

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