Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Costa D`Amalfi		Casarano

	1	X	2
	6.2	4	1.45
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	6.86	4.1	1.41
	6.2	4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.44 ↓ (6.48)	3.96 ↓ (4.1)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa D`Amalfi
14.1%

Draw
22.9%

Casarano
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

22.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.6%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa D`Amalfi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa D`Amalfi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Costa D`Amalfi - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Malcore G. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Javi Morales ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Opoola M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
73', 0 - 4, Saraniti A. ⚽,
80', 0 - 5, Saraniti A. ⚽,
84', 0 - 6, Saraniti A. ⚽,
89', 0 - 7, Loiodice N. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Costa D`Amalfi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Casarano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Casarano is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Costa D`Amalfi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Costa D`Amalfi FC
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.12.24	Costa D`Amalfi - Angri	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Acerrana - Costa D`Amalfi	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Costa D`Amalfi - Ischia Isolaverde	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Matera - Costa D`Amalfi	4:2 ✺
17.11.24	Costa D`Amalfi - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.12.24	Ischia Isolaverde - Casarano	3:8 ✺
15.12.24	Casarano - Gravina	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Fidelis Andria - Casarano	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Casarano - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.11.24	Martina Calcio - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
08.09.24	Casarano - Costa D`Amalfi	1:0

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