Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Covadonga		Cayón

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
				Watch
	2.04	3.09	3.75
	2.05	3.09	3.75
	2.07	3.04	3.75
	1.99	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
45.2%

Draw
29.5%

Cayón
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Covadonga - Cayón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', Herrero A. (Pen),
27', Fernandez I. ⚽,
29', Herrero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Perez S. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Covadonga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cayón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cayón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Covadonga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.03.24	Langreo - Covadonga	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Covadonga - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Covadonga - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Covadonga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTLWL
- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.03.24	Cayón - Arandina	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Cayón	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cayón - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Real Avilés - Cayón	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Cayón - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Cayón - Covadonga	3:1

Covadonga - Cayón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide